The brokerage don’t see Indian IT breaking away from structurally declining margins since FY14. Therefore, players with pricing power like Infosys and significant margin headroom like Tech Mahindra are top picks. Against this backdrop, NIFTY-IT’s ~31% correction from its Dec-24 peak offers good entry points.
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Yes Securities Report
We initiate coverage on the Indian IT sector with a differentiated deep-dive into the US client base of large-cap players, offering sharper visibility into sectoral drivers beyond management commentary.
Our analysis highlights downside risks to consensus BFSI growth assumptions, a more constructive stance on retail, and steady outlook for relecom and Hi-Tech.
While deal momentum remains healthy across tier1s, our revenue conversion metric shows momentum for Wipro and LTIMindtree, is steady for Infosys, and weak for HCLTech and Tech Mahindra.
We don’t see Indian IT breaking away from structurally declining margins since FY14. Therefore, players with pricing power like Infosys and significant margin headroom like Tech Mahindra are our top picks. Against this backdrop, NIFTY-IT’s ~31% correction from its Dec-24 peak offers good entry points.
We prefer Infosys for its GenAI leadership and solid execution, and Tech Mahindra for margin recovery and recent deal wins, while we are Neutral on HCLTech and LTIMindtree due to valuation and margin decline; Add rated Wipro offers near term revenue momentum.
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